The strongest in the last 140 years is coming: 'Super El Nino' ​​is on its way, temperatures will peak! Here's the date...

The latest data on the global climate system indicates that we are on the verge of a very powerful "Super El Niño" that will profoundly shake the world. Recent reports from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reveal that this possibility, previously highlighted in March, has now become a much more pronounced and significant risk. This extraordinary natural phenomenon, expected to fully manifest itself in the coming summer or autumn months, is predicted to lead to record-breaking temperatures, altered rainfall patterns, and severe weather events globally.

The Devastating Effects of Super El Niño

Classic El Niño, which occurs when sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean rise above normal, causes consequences such as drought, floods, and heat waves worldwide. However, Super El Niño events, which occur every ten to fifteen years, have much wider reach, are longer-lasting, and have devastating effects. Experts define Super El Niño as water temperatures rising two degrees Celsius above average in critical regions of the Pacific. This warming disrupts atmospheric air currents, triggering chain reactions and shockwaves in the global climate balance.

Historical Temperature Records on the Way

Commenting on the matter, Paul Roundy, Professor of Atmospheric Science at the State University of New York, Albany, warned of the seriousness of the situation, stating, "There is a real potential for the strongest El Niño event in the last 140 years." Scientists agree that this year's figures could even surpass the historical El Niño record of December 2015, when sea surface temperatures exceeded averages by 2.8 degrees Celsius. It is predicted that the effects of this powerful natural phenomenon, resulting from the release of massive heat accumulated in the oceans into the atmosphere via jet streams, could last until 2027, potentially leading to a new record for the hottest year on record.

Intercontinental Climate Scenario

One of the most striking consequences of Super El Niño on a global scale will be the simultaneous triggering of contrasting extreme weather events. While hurricane activity is expected to slow in the Atlantic Ocean, the risk of typhoons and tropical cyclones is predicted to escalate in the Pacific Ocean. The Caribbean will face the threat of drought, while Hawaii, Guam, and East Asia may be hit by severe storms. One half of the world will be scorched while the other half is submerged. Parts of Central Africa, Australia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Central America, and Northern Brazil will struggle with severe drought. Conversely, Peru, Ecuador, certain regions of North and East Africa, the Middle East, and the Pacific coasts around the equator will experience extreme rainfall and flooding.

Critical Drought Scenarios for Türkiye

This massive climate event is not expected to bypass Türkiye. According to expert assessments, Super El Nino, which could negatively impact the fundamental systems determining Türkiye's climate, will be particularly felt in the Mediterranean basin. It is stated that there may be a serious risk of drought during the spring and summer months, with rainfall potentially falling far below normal levels. There are concerns that the oppressive heat waves, which will occur more frequently during the summer, will raise the risk of forest fires to the highest level, especially in the Aegean and Mediterranean regions.

The West is warming, the East is freezing

As global climate balances shift, Türkiye is also experiencing sharp contrasts in its weekly weather forecasts. Meteorologist Adil Tek, in his assessment of the new week, emphasized that winter conditions prevail in the eastern regions, while spring weather dominates the west. He noted that snowfall continues in the Van, Hakkari, Muş, and Bitlis areas, while rain continues in the Şırnak and Mardin regions. Drawing attention to the temperature increase in the west, Tek stated, "Temperatures are gradually increasing in the western regions; the rise has begun in Istanbul as of today. We are heading towards those days when we say 'our bones will be warm'."

Sharing the latest data for Istanbul, Tek said, "Today in Istanbul, the weather is clear and the temperature is reaching 17 degrees. Tomorrow and Wednesday we will see 19 degrees, there is no need to dress too warmly, but attention should be paid to the morning and evening hours." Regarding the capital Ankara, the expert stated that the day started at zero degrees, adding, "In Ankara, it will rise to 12 degrees during the day, and on Friday we will see 21-22 degrees," indicating that the increase will continue.

Warning about African Dust: Wear a Mask

One of the most significant meteorological events of the week will be the African dust storm that is set to affect Türkiye. Expert Adil Tek, speaking to A Haber, stated that the dust transport has begun, saying, "It starts today; it's weak today, but we will feel it more intensely tomorrow and Wednesday. We can call this week 'dust week'." Tek noted that the lack of rain will make the situation more difficult, adding, "In previous weeks, it fell to the ground with rain, but this time it will remain in the air, which poses a health risk." He particularly urged citizens in the risk group, saying, "Those with chronic illnesses and elderly citizens should wear masks when going outside," issuing an important warning.