Turkish FM says Russia-Ukraine war nearing potential ceasefire

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has declared that the Russia-Ukraine war has approached its nearest point to a potential resolution, describing the conflict as increasingly unsustainable for all parties involved amid shifting battlefield dynamics and mounting economic pressures.

Conflict Evolution and Current Stalemate

During a television interview on Saturday, Fidan characterized the war as having reached "its closest point to stopping" after evolving into what he termed a "drone battle." While conventional military targets continue to be struck, the foreign minister observed that the ground front remains effectively deadlocked. He noted the conflict's current phase focuses heavily on destroying transportation and energy infrastructure, creating what he described as "its darkest moment" with both sides inflicting substantial mutual destruction without significant territorial gains.

Economic and Political Costs Mounting

The Turkish diplomat emphasized the conflict's transformation into a "war of attrition" that imposes heavy burdens on all involved. Fidan highlighted that European nations, while not directly participating with troops, bear substantial costs through financial and military support to Ukraine. He pointed to rising defense expenditures forcing budget cuts in other sectors and noted several European governments have changed since the war's beginning, indicating the political consequences of sustained economic pressure. The foreign minister characterized these cumulative costs as no longer "sustainable" or "manageable."

Diplomatic Prospects and Regional Mediation

Fidan expressed confidence that peace negotiations would eventually materialize, stating Türkiye "believes a peace table will be formed" whether in Türkiye or another location. He described peace as both necessary and inevitable given the current military stalemate and economic pressures. The foreign minister's comments come amid ongoing Turkish diplomatic efforts to facilitate dialogue between the conflicting parties, building on Ankara's previous mediation successes including the Black Sea grain initiative and prisoner exchanges.

Regional Stability and International Context

The assessment from Ankara comes as the conflict approaches its third year with no clear military resolution in sight. Türkiye has maintained diplomatic relations with both Moscow and Kyiv throughout the hostilities, positioning itself as a potential neutral mediator. Fidan's characterization of the war's unsustainable costs aligns with recent European debates about continued military support for Ukraine amid domestic economic challenges and political divisions within both European and American political establishments.