German chancellor expects no Ukraine peace breakthrough this week

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has expressed cautious optimism about recent diplomatic developments in Ukraine peace efforts while simultaneously managing expectations for rapid progress. Speaking to journalists during the EU-Africa summit in Angola, Merz acknowledged constructive discussions in Geneva but indicated that substantial breakthroughs remain unlikely in the immediate future, noting the complex nature of the negotiations.

Geneva Talks and Diplomatic Process

The German leader confirmed that senior officials from the United States, European nations, and Ukraine had initiated the drafting of a document outlining shared positions during Sunday's negotiations in Geneva. Merz characterized the talks as productive, stating they had successfully clarified several outstanding questions. However, he emphasized that "peace in Ukraine won't happen overnight," suggesting a protracted diplomatic process lies ahead despite recent engagement.

European Support and Ukrainian Sovereignty

Merz reaffirmed Europe's continued backing for Ukraine throughout the negotiation process, asserting that Ukrainian national interests align with broader European security concerns. He outlined three fundamental principles guiding European support: preventing forced unilateral territorial concessions, maintaining Ukraine's capacity for self-defense against aggression, and establishing reliable security guarantees from international partners. The chancellor stressed that Ukraine requires "strong armed forces" to ensure its continued sovereignty.

Timeline Expectations and Russian Participation

When questioned about reported US pressure for Ukrainian approval of the peace plan by Thursday, Merz indicated that negotiations would now advance to the heads of state and government level following the Geneva technical discussions. Expressing personal skepticism, the chancellor noted his doubts about Russia's willingness to engage constructively in the peace process, suggesting Moscow's participation remains the primary uncertainty in the diplomatic equation.