Norway warns weakening postwar order threatens security, points to Russia as top threat

The international order established after World War II is losing strength, eroding the foundations of Norwegian security, according to Norway’s annual threat assessment released on Friday. The joint report by the Norwegian National Security Authority, the Police Security Service (PST), and the Norwegian Intelligence Service states that weakened international institutions are creating heightened instability.

Russia as the Primary Threat

Intelligence Chief Nils Andreas Stensønes identified Russia as the most significant security challenge, noting that while Moscow aims to undermine Western unity and support for Ukraine, it lacks the economic and diplomatic means to achieve its goals effectively. The report warns that Norwegian critical infrastructure and the energy sector are potential targets for Russian espionage, influence operations, and sabotage.

Impact of US Rhetoric and Great‑Power Tensions

Stensønes also referenced US President Donald Trump’s focus on Greenland, part of Denmark, but noted no similar rhetoric targeting Norway. Defense Minister Tore O. Sandvik acknowledged that 2026 has been marked by “great uncertainty,” partly due to Trump’s statements, but stressed that Norway’s primary threats remain Russia and China. The assessment further warns that rising tensions between the West and Russia and China are fueling an arms race.

Call for European Resilience

Justice Minister Astri Aas‑Hansen emphasized that Norway and Europe must assume greater responsibility for their own security, including strengthening civilian resilience. The intelligence service cautioned that weakened transatlantic cooperation could create opportunities for Russia and China to expand their influence. PST’s assessment also highlighted risks of sabotage, influence campaigns, and cyberattacks, noting that major global political shifts will inevitably affect Norway.