The latest status of the parties?

After the deputy lists are submitted to the Supreme Committee of Elections, critical thresholds in politics will be surpassed tomorrow.

With the deputy lists announced, tomorrow dynamism will be evident in all parties.

Before the elections, AK Party made an attempt to form an alliance with the Felicity Party (SP). Yet a positive result wasn't achieved, as SP insisted on a number to form a group in Parliament.

Oğuzhan Asiltürk expressed that an agreement wasn't reached and said, “May God install peace."

I can't comment on the deputy negotiation side. But as a person who supported the AK Party -HAS Party unification, I regarded the AK Party- SP alliance as an 'embracement of brotherhood'.

But it didn't work out.

It is too early to make evaluations on the election results, before the MP lists are made public and the election campaigns start.

Besides, it is important to know the conjuncture of the elections.

It was impossible to predict that AK Party would lose the right to sole power, and the HDP would pass the election threshold before the June 7 elections.

There are two very important fault lines that can affect the November 1 elections.

1- The economy

2- Fighting against terrorism

These two factors will be more important than the performances of the leaders.

After these detections, I will try and find answers to; what state is the AK Party in, compared to its state in the June 7 elections? Will the AK Party come to power alone again?

The real studies on the vote rates of the parties will be carried out after the MP candidates are made public. Speaking of which, AK Party had extensive research done in regards to its MPs in the 81 provinces. The research conducted included; the situation of the candidates for nomination, who the public wanted to see as MPs, and the state of the party within that province. The “supreme board" members are benefiting from the research conducted.

What are the final states of the parties according to the research conducted?

AK Party: According to the June 7 results, the party is observed to be on the rise. With the announcement of the MP lists and an exciting election campaign, if AK Party manages to increase its votes, it can come to power alone. If the party increases its vote percentage, it may or may not come to power alone.

'AK Party might just come to power alone, or might just miss'

It is evident that AK Party is in a better state than it was during the June 7 elections. The party's votes have increased by 2-2.5 points. However, the party is still at risk of just missing the opportunity to form a government alone.

Therefore, AK Party is expected to form an MP list that will make it win the elections. Because this election will either be an opportunity for them to be resurrected, or lose their desirability and become like many other parties in the system.

CHP: Conducting a constructive opposition since the June 7 elections, CHP's votes are showing a wavelike movement.

Forming its June 7 election campaign on positive themes before the elections, the CHP acted with responsibility during the coalition talks. Sitting at the table with AK Party to form a coalition government, the CHP has been “constructive" during the fight against terrorism. Instead of getting in an argument over the martyrs, the CHP leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu came together with the Prime Minister and the Chief of Staff and expressed that he supported the fight against terrorism. With his constructive opposition after the elections Kılıçdaroğlu became one of the most profitable leaders, yet couldn't explain to the public why the CHP wasn't participating in the Care Taker Government. Being the least criticized party since the June 7 elections, we will see where the CHP will be standing after the wavelike movements in its vote rates.

MHP: Calling for a snap election on the night of the June 7 elections, and closing all doors during the coalition talks, the MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli drew reaction from his party's base. MHP's attitude caused its votes to decrease during the coalition-forming endeavor. It's an example of "If you can't control your anger, you can hurt yourself." Initially falling back by three points, the MHP started to bounce back after the loss of our soldiers and police. The decrease in MHP votes will be the answer for a possible increase in AK Party votes.

HDP : Despite, the Reconciliation Process “being put away in the freezer" and the battle against the PKK restarting, the HDP is continuing horizontally. We can see the presupposition that if the battle against the PKK restarts and there is an increase in deaths, then the HDP will lose votes, is invalid in this situation. It is evident that the “Kurds" and the “White Turks" that voted for HDP on June 7 are continuing to support them. Results show that the Kurds living in urban cities decided to stay with the HDP, despite leaning towards AK Party on the early days of the attacks on the PKK. A decrease in HDP votes isn't seen in Eastern Turkey, but interlocking is evident in big cities.

This is the big Picture.

AK Party was planning to give a start to the election and, with that acceleration, start its election campaign after the June 12 congress. They couldn't take that leap. Yet, guarding its “unity and entirety" they overcame the September 9 ripple that could have caused a quake in politics

Unity and entirety are magical words for AK Party. When Abdullah Gül was president and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was prime minister, this harmony had created a synergy. Well, it was this way at least for the first five years. One day after a reception at the Çankaya Köşk, Abdullah Gül pulled me aside after reading an article I wrote and said, “We couldn't attend these receptions with our wives in previous periods. We were sent invitations for 'one person only'. Today I am the president, Mr. Tayyip, the prime minister, and Cemil Çiçek, the speaker of Parliament. We have the top three duties in Turkey. We should be very grateful for this. "

I was expecting to see a similar synergy in the relationship between President Erdoğan and Prime Minister Davutoğlu. We can't say we have ensured this. But we need this. And we need it urgently.

President Erdoğan is ours, and so is Prime Minister Davutoğlu. Abdullah Gül is ours and so is Bülent Arınç. Because we make sense when we are together.

If you mean restoring factory settings or reinstalling the founding spirit, this is what it is; the unity and entirety spirit.