The elections agenda: Can AK Party form the government?

One of the points at the center of gravity during the June 7 elections was whether the HDP would pass the election threshold or not. HDP decided to use the election threshold as a leverage, and if other input were put aside, this would have been politically legitimate and a successful tactic. However, knowing that they would not be able to pass the election threshold this way, they included illegitimate and meretricious tactics. The ISIL defamation was added onto the threshold factor. They pioneered the coup mechanism that Öcalan had warned about camouflaging it under the “We won't allow you to become president” discourse.

However, in the days to come, the agenda topic will not be whether HDP will pass the threshold or not, but whether AK Party will come to sole power or not. It seems like HDP will not have a threshold problem, since it is safeguarded by Doğan, the parallel organization, the CHP and external dynamics. The HDP is now deprived of the great oppression it has created on the electorate.

It appears that the main determinant (as an addition to the election threshold); the slander that Turkey supports ISIL is now off the agenda. Turkey's reasonable and debatable negotiation with the U.S. on the safe zone and the general principles has come to an end. No matter how much those similar to Edelmann struggle to accept, the U.S. has forsaken the position it held on the PKK/PYD in July, to the benefit of Turkey.

We are going through a period in which; Turkey is striking at ISIL, statements are made on the obligation of slaughtering Erdoğan, our workers are abducted and our soldiers are being killed.

Therefore, the alarmed Demirtaş first threw himself to Brussels and then to Austria. Hereby we have witnessed that he is bargaining with external dynamics rather than those in Turkey.

Before the June 7 elections, I had argued in my column that conflict would arise when HDP entered the parliament (not before), that the PKK/HDP would end the Reconciliation Process that was never imprinted in their mind in the first place, and that virtual conditions would be laid out in order to create cantonization in the region.

If only I was proved wrong. But coming events cast their shadows before. The immoral track HDP chose would have destabilized the parliament, would have prevented a sole party government from being formed and the uncertainty would have been helping the PKK find ground for it to settle. I exonerate the HDP who is totally against this strategy. But they couldn't stand up against this ever. If they could, they would have during the Central Executive Committee (MYK) meeting in which the 6-8 October call for a revolt was discussed.

Well, it isn't that easy. You would have to be fearless. Therefore, Erdoğan is the leader of the Kurds too...

Acting in a degenerate manner, “Whatever suits me, I will say and do; there need not be consistency between what I say and what I do”, HDP's peace statements have now lost their validity. This is the third point... After entering the parliament with a never before seen success rate (since they were supported in this manner for the first time) and having nearly as many parliamentarians as the MHP, the HDP representatives started to utter ugly and bald talk and the co-leaders started to speak about uprising and arming. Their mouths uttered words of blood, not because they couldn't enter the parliament, but because they did enter the parliament. Today, young children are killed with mines, civilians are being shot for disobeying a “stop warning”, doctors are being executed, mayors are declaring self-rule, and this is all happening for no reason.

The HDP's election threshold, ISIL and peace talks have crashed. Yet, Doğan, the parallel and the foreign media are continuing to protect the HDP. The media will do everything they possibly can to cover this collapse and help will be offered from the Turkish CHP to the "Kurdish CHP”, the Inter-Baas Support Organization in Syria.. Together they will start an “Erdoğan ended the Reconciliation Process” campaign. While they are busy with this, the MHP will be chanting, “The martyrs are coming because of the Reconciliation Process.” It doesn't matter if the two vilifications are opposite. Consistency isn't important at all, the important thing is, which media group supports you?

Shortly and precisely, HDP passing the threshold is not a topic of concern; instead we are all wondering whether the AK Party will be able to form the government alone. The sub-meaning of this is; stability, civil peace, a quick escape from the possible interregnum, not tumbling into the period after Özal.

When the struggle on ground is this historical, it will be more effective to use a strategy covering the future, stability, normalization, peace, growth, and leaning towards the low-incomers, rather than giving the citizens a message that there is a struggle of life or death.

The November 1 elections are an opportunity for Turkey rather than for AK Party. Either way, we will understand this on November the 2nd.