Panel in Ankara assesses future of Türkiye-Iraq relations

The future trajectory of Türkiye-Iraq relations was the focus of a recent policy panel in the Turkish capital Ankara, where analysts emphasized a trend toward deeper institutional cooperation and shared security priorities. The discussion, hosted by the Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research (SETA), examined how bilateral ties are evolving amid shifting regional power dynamics and ongoing challenges.

Analysis of political and security cooperation

Experts noted that bilateral relations have gained positive momentum under the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, with Ankara prioritizing Iraq's political unity. Analysts pointed out that Türkiye's restrained stance during Iraq's 2019 protests helped build trust. A central theme was the need for the relationship to advance independently of broader regional conflicts. Security collaboration against common threats, particularly the PKK terror group in northern Iraq and the remnants of Daesh, was identified as a critical and enduring area for joint action.

Economic interdependence and regional projects

The economic dimension of the relationship was underscored, with Türkiye standing as Iraq's fourth-largest trading partner. Panelists argued that instability in Iraq would inevitably affect the Turkish economy, making stability a mutual interest. Significant potential was seen in large-scale infrastructure projects like Iraq's proposed "Development Road," a transport and trade corridor that could enhance regional economic integration and connectivity, benefiting both nations.

Navigating regional tensions and external pressures

The discussion acknowledged that Türkiye-Iraq ties operate within a complex and fragile regional environment, influenced by tensions between the U.S. and Iran and the ongoing war in Gaza. Despite these external pressures, experts concluded that both Ankara and Baghdad possess the potential to foster greater regional cooperation. The path forward, they suggested, hinges on continued institutional dialogue, pragmatic management of disputes such as water sharing, and a steadfast focus on common security and economic interests.